Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 52.55%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.