Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.05%) and 2-0 (5.11%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.