OH Leuven
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 4
Aug 18, 2024 at 3pm UK
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Leuven
1 - 1
Cercle Brugge

Maziz (37')
Schrijvers (22'), Verstraete (73'), Akimoto (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Denkey (16')
Miangue (88'), Kader Ouattara (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Belgian Pro League clash between Leuven and Cercle Brugge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leuven

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 1-1 Leuven
Saturday, August 10 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Cercle Brugge

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-0 Molde
Thursday, August 15 at 7pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
LeuvenDrawCercle Brugge
42.77% (-0.058 -0.06)25.68% (0.094000000000001 0.09)31.55% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.17% (-0.318 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.24% (-0.41 -0.41)49.76% (0.411 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.23% (-0.368 -0.37)71.76% (0.36800000000001 0.37)
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86% (-0.205 -0.2)23.14% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.99% (-0.302 -0.3)57.01% (0.303 0.3)
Cercle Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (-0.226 -0.23)29.51% (0.227 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (-0.278 -0.28)65.53% (0.27799999999999 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Leuven 42.77%
    Cercle Brugge 31.55%
    Draw 25.68%
LeuvenDrawCercle Brugge
1-0 @ 10% (0.106 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.32% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 42.77%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.33% (0.086 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.09% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 31.55%

How you voted: Leuven vs Cercle Brugge

Leuven
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Cercle Brugge
28.6%
28
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Leuven
1-2
Cercle Brugge
Dagur Thorsteinsson (2')
Mendyl (44'), Dom (45'), Schrijvers (90'), Braut Brunes (90+3')
Denkey (59', 90+5')
Popovic (36'), Van der Bruggen (64'), Utkus (90+3')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Cercle Brugge
3-2
Leuven
Denkey (3', 37', 87')
Van der Bruggen (56'), Denkey (88')
Shlomo (4'), Banzuzi (44')
Vlietinck (35'), Schrijvers (55'), Misao (78')
Feb 10, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 25
Leuven
0-0
Cercle Brugge
Nov 5, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 16
Cercle Brugge
2-1
Leuven
Ueda (36'), Ravych (90+1')
Gonzalez (41')
Feb 12, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Leuven
3-2
Cercle Brugge
Maertens (40'), Kaba (63'), Al Tamari (67')
Dewaest (83'), Maertens (90+6')
Matondo (32'), Denkey (43')
Kanoute (7'), Van der Bruggen (53'), Deman (78'), Daland (90+6')