Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Dender had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Dender win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Westerlo would win this match.