OH Leuven
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 18
Dec 14, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Leuven
1 - 0
Charleroi

N'dri (61')
Ikwuemesi (63'), Ricca (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Guiagon (31'), Andreou (46')
Andreou (79'), Dabbagh (90+8')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Leuven and Charleroi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leuven

All competitions
Last Game: Standard Liege 1-1 Leuven
Saturday, December 7 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Charleroi

All competitions
Last Game: Antwerp 1-3 Charleroi
Sunday, December 8 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.

Result
LeuvenDrawCharleroi
48.17% (0.143 0.14)24.13% (0.02 0.02)27.71% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 57.05% (-0.189 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.04% (-0.19 -0.19)44.96% (0.197 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.69% (-0.185 -0.18)67.31% (0.191 0.19)
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)18.78% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.82% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)50.18% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.23% (-0.214 -0.21)29.77% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.16% (-0.262 -0.26)65.84% (0.268 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Leuven 48.17%
    Charleroi 27.71%
    Draw 24.12%
LeuvenDrawCharleroi
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.35% (0.073 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 48.17%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 27.71%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Charleroi
0-2
Leuven
Ikwuemesi (32', 45+2')
Banzuzi (33'), Gil (57'), Gil (75')
Feb 17, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 26
Leuven
0-0
Charleroi
Maertens (14'), Maziz (48')
Heymans (13'), Petris (25'), Camara (39'), Koffi (90+6')
Camara (45+3')
Jul 29, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 1
Charleroi
1-1
Leuven
Dabbagh (9')
Mbenza (39'), Ilaimaharitra (52'), Heymans (79')
Stulic (17')
Opoku (84' pen.)
Maertens (62')
> Preview
Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Charleroi
0-1
Leuven
Al Tamari (16')
Sep 10, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Leuven
3-2
Charleroi
Maertens (22'), Gonzalez (62', 85')
Heymans (13'), Ilaimaharitra (76' pen.)