Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Dender had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Dender win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.