Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Dender had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Dender win was 1-0 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cercle Brugge in this match.