Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Charleroi	Draw	Union SG
37.62% ( -0.03)	26.99% ( 0.01)	35.38% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.9% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.62% (

-0.05)

54.38% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.25% (

-0.04)

75.75% (

0.04)

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.02% (

-0.04)

27.98% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.38% (

-0.05)

63.62% (

0.05)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.67% (

-0.01)

29.33% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.7% (

-0.01)

65.3% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Charleroi 37.62%

Union SG 35.38%

Draw 26.99%

Charleroi	Draw	Union SG
1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 37.62%	1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.99%	0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.38%