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Europa League
Europa League | League Stage
Dec 12, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
Nice

Union SG
2 - 1
Nice

Ivanovic (33', 90+2')
Vanhoutte (75'), Mac Allister (76'), Khalaili (89'), Pocognoli (90+4'), Ivanovic (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Guessand (45+1')
Bombito (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Union SG and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 0-0 Union SG
Sunday, December 8 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Nice

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Nice 2-1 Le Havre
Saturday, December 7 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Union SG 1-1 Nice

 Nice's worrying European form is unlikely to change against a side currently unbeaten in nine games, and it could spell the end of their chances to progress. Union SG are on the rise in Europe, winning four points from their last two games, and they will be confident of taking something here, especially after holding Roma on their last European home night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawNice
42.35% (-0.362 -0.36) 25.41% (-0.02 -0.02) 32.23% (0.379 0.38)
Both teams to score 55.34% (0.215 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (0.21400000000001 0.21)48.36% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (0.195 0.2)70.5% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)22.73% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59% (-0.123 -0.12)56.41% (0.122 0.12)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (0.355 0.36)28.37% (-0.355 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (0.444 0.44)64.11% (-0.444 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 42.35%
    Nice 32.23%
    Draw 25.41%
Union SGDrawNice
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.08% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 42.35%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.12% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 1% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 32.23%

How you voted: Union SG vs Nice

Union SG
53.8%
Draw
30.8%
Nice
15.4%
52
rhs 2.0
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