Europa League | League Stage
Dec 12, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
Nice

Union SG
2 - 1
Nice

Ivanovic (33', 90+2')
Vanhoutte (75'), Mac Allister (76'), Khalaili (89'), Pocognoli (90+4'), Ivanovic (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Guessand (45+1')
Bombito (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Union SG and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cercle Brugge 0-0 Union SG
Sunday, December 8 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Nice 2-1 Le Havre
Saturday, December 7 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawNice
42.35% (-0.362 -0.36)25.41% (-0.02 -0.02)32.23% (0.379 0.38)
Both teams to score 55.34% (0.215 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (0.21400000000001 0.21)48.36% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (0.195 0.2)70.5% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)22.73% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59% (-0.123 -0.12)56.41% (0.122 0.12)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (0.355 0.36)28.37% (-0.355 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (0.444 0.44)64.11% (-0.444 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 42.35%
    Nice 32.23%
    Draw 25.41%
Union SGDrawNice
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.08% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 42.35%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.12% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 1% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 32.23%

How you voted: Union SG vs Nice

Union SG
53.8%
Draw
30.8%
Nice
15.4%
52