Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 14
Nov 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien (Bruxelles (Brussels))
Genk

Union SG
4 - 0
Genk

Lapoussin (4'), Akinpelu (45', 64'), Sadiki (51')
Machida (55'), Ait El Hadj (57'), Burgess (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mujaid (51'), Heynen (56'), Van Crombrugge (73'), Arokodare (75')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Genk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union SG 1-1 Roma
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Genk 2-0 Antwerp
Sunday, November 3 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Genk had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawGenk
43.52% (-0.138 -0.14)24.14% (0.036999999999999 0.04)32.33% (0.10100000000001 0.1)
Both teams to score 59.79% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.42% (-0.129 -0.13)42.57% (0.128 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.02% (-0.128 -0.13)64.98% (0.128 0.13)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.24% (-0.114 -0.11)19.76% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.2% (-0.184 -0.18)51.79% (0.184 0.18)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)25.49% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67% (0.00099999999999767 0)60.32% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 43.52%
    Genk 32.33%
    Draw 24.14%
Union SGDrawGenk
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.17% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.62% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 43.52%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.88% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.33%

Head to Head
May 26, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Union SG
2-0
Genk
Vanhoutte (37'), Nilsson (80' pen.)
Teklab (42'), Vanhoutte (66'), Burgess (88')

Zeqiri (63')
El Ouahdi (78')
Apr 1, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Genk
1-0
Union SG

Sykes (83'), Castro-Montes (90+6')
Burgess (90+5')
Feb 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Genk
0-1
Union SG

Hrosovsky (53')
El Amine Amoura (67')
Moris (16'), Burgess (25'), Nilsson (71'), Vanhoutte (90+2')
Sep 16, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 7
Union SG
0-2
Genk

Vanhoutte (34')
Zeqiri (16'), Galarza (90+2')
Oyen (29'), El Khannous (43'), Munoz (45+1'), Galarza (45+3'), Paintsil (51'), Kayembe (56')
May 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Genk
1-1
Union SG
McKenzie (13')
Okoh Boniface (39')
Burgess (44'), El Azzouzi (52')