Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.