Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Union SG	Draw	Roma
44.28% ( 0.01)	26.95% ( -0)	28.77% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.9% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.07% (

0.01)

55.92% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.97% (

0.01)

77.02% (

-0.01)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.89% (

0.01)

25.11% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.19% (

0.02)

59.81% (

-0.02)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.29% (

-0.01)

34.7% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.57% (

-0)

71.43% (

Score Analysis

Union SG 44.28%

Roma 28.77%

Draw 26.94%

Union SG	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 12.04% 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 44.28%	1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.71% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.94%	0-1 @ 9.22% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.18% Total : 28.77%