Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 50.99%. A win for Torino had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match.