Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 9

Oct 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
5 - 1
Roma

Kean (9', 41'), Beltran (17' pen.), Bove (52'), Hummels (71' og.)
Ranieri (61'), Kean (74'), Kean (75')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Kone (39')
Mancini (42'), Pisilli (50'), Kone (57'), Hermoso (60')
Hermoso (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: St Gallen 2-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Dynamo Kiev
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Roma had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Roma
43.42% ( -0.38)	25.9% ( 0.31)	30.68% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 53.08% (

-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.01% (

-1.26)

50.99% (

1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.14% (

-1.12)

72.86% (

1.11)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.64% (

-0.72)

23.36% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.67% (

-1.07)

57.33% (

1.07)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.27% (

-0.59)

30.73% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.01% (

-0.7)

66.99% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 43.41%

Roma 30.68%

Draw 25.89%

Fiorentina	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.01% Total : 43.41%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 30.68%