Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 8

Oct 20, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
0 - 6
Fiorentina

FT(HT: 0-3)

Cataldi (20', 45'), Colpani (34', 54'), Beltran (61'), Parisi (72')
Colpani (18'), Adli (42'), Gosens (59'), Ranieri (80'), Richardson (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Udinese 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, October 5 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 AC Milan
Sunday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 24.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.47%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Fiorentina
24.05% ( 0.26)	25.33% ( 0.1)	50.63% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 49.9% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.23% (

-0.17)

52.77% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.6% (

-0.14)

74.4% (

0.15)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.05% (

0.14)

36.95% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.27% (

0.14)

73.74% (

-0.14)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.14% (

-0.22)

20.86% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.45% (

-0.34)

53.55% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Lecce 24.05%

Fiorentina 50.62%

Draw 25.32%

Lecce	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.75% Total : 24.05%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 12.07% 0-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.95% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.93% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 50.62%