Conference League
Oct 24, 2024 5.45pm
2
4
HT : 1 0
FT Kybunpark
  • Felix Mambimbi 23' goal
  • Jozo Stanic 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Felix Mambimbi 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Lukas Gortler 62' goal
  • Christian Witzig 86' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Martinez 50'
  • yellowcard Christian Kouame 45'+6'
  • goal Jonathan Ikone 54'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Sottil 61'
  • goal Jonathan Ikone 69'
  • yellowcard Danilo Cataldi 70'
  • goal Robin Gosens 90'+3'

St Gallen vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Gallen

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 3, 2024 5.45pm
Cercle Brugge 6 - 2 St Gallen

Fiorentina

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 3, 2024 8.00pm
Fiorentina 2 - 0 New Saints

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result

St Gallen 27.16% (+0.02)
Draw 24.09% (+0.01)
Fiorentina 48.75% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.73% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.83% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 45.17% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 32.49% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 67.51% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 16.42%
Under 4.5 83.57% (-0.01)

St Gallen Goals

Over 0.5 69.71% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 30.28% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 33.54% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 66.46% (-0.02)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 81.38% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 18.62% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 50.08% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 49.92% (+0.02)

Score analysis

St Gallen 27.16%
Draw 24.08%
Fiorentina 48.75%
St Gallen
2-1 @ 6.76% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.74% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.02% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.69% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.6% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 27.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.32%
2-2 @ 5.68% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.08%
Fiorentina
1-2 @ 9.52% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.48% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.97% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.33% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.46% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.19%
1-4 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.88% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 48.75%