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UEFA Conference League

St Gallen
Conference League | League Stage
Oct 24, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Kybunpark
Fiorentina logo

St Gallen
2 - 4
Fiorentina

Mambimbi (23'), Gortler (62')
Mambimbi (45+6'), Stanic (45+3'), Witzig (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martinez (50'), Ikone (54', 69'), Gosens (90+3')
Kouame (45+6'), Sottil (61'), Cataldi (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between St Gallen and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Gallen

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Basel 2-1 St Gallen
Sunday, October 20 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Fiorentina

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Lecce 0-6 Fiorentina
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
St GallenDrawFiorentina
27.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)24.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)48.75% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.73% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.83% (0.00099999999999767 0)45.17% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.49% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.51% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
St Gallen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.71% (0.013999999999996 0.01)30.28% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.54% (0.016999999999996 0.02)66.46% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)18.62% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.08% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)49.92% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Gallen 27.16%
    Fiorentina 48.75%
    Draw 24.08%
St GallenDrawFiorentina
2-1 @ 6.76% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 6.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 27.16%
1-1 @ 11.32%
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 9.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 9.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 5.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.19%
1-4 @ 2.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 48.75%

How you voted: St Gallen vs Fiorentina

St Gallen
12.7%
Draw
7.0%
Fiorentina
80.3%
71