Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.