Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Roma |
| 30.92% ( | 26.78% ( | 42.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.58% ( | 54.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.21% ( | 75.79% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.68% ( | 32.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.18% ( | 68.82% ( |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.56% ( | 25.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.74% ( | 60.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 9.28% ( 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 2-0 @ 5.24% ( 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 3-0 @ 1.97% ( 3-2 @ 1.85% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 30.92% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 2-2 @ 4.92% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 11.25% ( 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0-2 @ 7.7% ( 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0-3 @ 3.52% ( 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0-4 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 42.3% |