Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.