Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Venezia |
| 46.4% ( | 25.35% ( | 28.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.09% ( | 49.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.1% ( | 71.9% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.49% ( | 21.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.43% ( | 54.57% ( |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.06% ( | 31.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.6% ( | 68.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Venezia |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 4-2 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 46.4% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.24% |