Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 10.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.11%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.