Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 9

Oct 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
6 - 1
Hellas Verona

de Roon (6'), Retegui (9', 58'), De Ketelaere (14'), Lookman (29', 34')

FT(HT: 5-1)

Sarr (42')
Bradaric (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Celtic
Wednesday, October 23 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-3 Monza
Monday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.11%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Hellas Verona
70.33% ( 0.18)	18.83% ( -0.08)	10.84% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 43.13% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.34% (

0.05)

47.66% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.15% (

0.05)

69.85% (

-0.05)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.67% (

0.07)

12.33% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.86% (

0.14)

38.14% (

-0.14)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.2% (

-0.16)

50.8% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.79% (

-0.11)

85.21% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 70.33%

Hellas Verona 10.84%

Draw 18.83%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Hellas Verona
2-0 @ 13.72% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 13.11% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 70.33%	1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 18.83%	0-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.15% Total : 10.84%