Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 36.9% ( | 26.02% ( | 37.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.76% ( | 50.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.81% ( | 72.19% ( |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% ( | 26.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.39% ( | 61.61% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( | 26.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.52% ( | 61.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 2-0 @ 6.16% ( 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 4-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0-2 @ 6.2% ( 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0-3 @ 2.76% ( 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.08% |