Serie A Gameweek 9
Napoli
Oct 26, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Lecce
  • Cyril Ngonge 19' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo 51' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo 73' goal
  • Ante Rebic 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Pierotti 77'
  • yellowcard Ante Rebic 90'+3'

Napoli vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2024 11.30am
Empoli 0 - 1 Napoli
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Romelu Lukaku

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2024 2.00pm
Lecce 0 - 6 Fiorentina
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Nikola Krstovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 73.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 9.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.7%) and 3-0 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result

Napoli 73.61% ▼ (-0.10)
Draw 16.88% ▲ (+0.05)
Lecce 9.51% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.56% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.06% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 42.94% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 34.66% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 65.34% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 18.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 81.99% ▲ (+0.05)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 89.85% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 10.15% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 66.62% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 33.38% ▲ (+0.10)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 49.59% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 50.4% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 15.06% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 84.94% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Napoli 73.58%
Draw 16.88%
Lecce 9.51%
Napoli
2-0 @ 13.38% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 11.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 10.2% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 4% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 73.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 16.88%
Lecce
0-1 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 9.51%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 38
Napoli
May 26, 2024 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Lecce
Serie A Gameweek 7
Lecce
Sep 30, 2023 2.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Napoli
  • Antonino Gallo 36' yellowcard
  • Ylber Ramadani 57' yellowcard
  • Roberto D'Aversa 67' yellowcard
  • Joan Gonzalez 81' yellowcard
  • goal Leo Skiri Oestigaard 16'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Simeone 17'
  • yellowcard Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 33'
  • goal Victor Osimhen 51'
  • goal Gianluca Gaetano 88'
  • goal Matteo Politano 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 29
Lecce
Apr 7, 2023 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Napoli
  • Federico Di Francesco 52' goal
  • goal Giovanni Di Lorenzo 18'
  • goal Antonino Gallo 64' (OG)
Serie A Gameweek 4
Napoli
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Lecce
  • Eljif Elmas 27' goal
  • goal Lorenzo Colombo 31'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Napoli
Feb 9, 2020 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio San Paolo
Lecce
  • Kalidou Koulibaly 37' yellowcard
  • Arkadiusz Milik 48' goal
  • Piotr Zielinski 57' yellowcard
  • Arkadiusz Milik 73' yellowcard
  • Mario Rui 80' yellowcard
  • Diego Demme 84' yellowcard
  • Jose Callejon 90' goal
  • goal Gianluca Lapadula 29'
  • goal Gianluca Lapadula 61'
  • yellowcard Andrea Rispoli 66'
  • yellowcard Mauro Vigorito 78'
  • goal Marco Mancosu 82'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Petriccione 85'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Lecce
Sep 22, 2019 2.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare (Lecce)
Napoli
  • Panagiotis Tachtsidis 37' yellowcard
  • Gabriel 38' yellowcard
  • Andrea Tabanelli 49' yellowcard
  • Marco Mancosu 61' goal
  • yellowcard Faouzi Ghoulam 22'
  • goal Fernando Llorente 28'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 40'
  • yellowcard Eljif Elmas 45'
  • goal Fabian 52'
  • yellowcard Fabian 53'
  • goal Fernando Llorente 82'

Form Data

Empoli 0 - 1 Napoli
Napoli 3 - 1 Como
Napoli 2 - 0 Monza
Napoli 5 - 0 Palermo
Juventus 0 - 0 Napoli
Cagliari 0 - 4 Napoli
Lecce 0 - 6 Fiorentina
Udinese 1 - 0 Lecce
AC Milan 3 - 0 Lecce
Lecce 0 - 2 Sassuolo
Lecce 2 - 2 Parma
Torino 0 - 0 Lecce