Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.