Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Nice had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.