Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 82.23%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 6.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.15%) and 4-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.49%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.