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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 82.23%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 6.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.15%) and 4-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.49%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Heracles |
| 82.23% ( | 11.69% ( | 6.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.9% ( | 30.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.69% ( | 51.3% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.57% ( | 5.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.76% ( | 21.23% ( |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.14% ( | 49.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.44% ( | 84.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-0 @ 11.48% 3-0 @ 11.15% ( 4-0 @ 8.13% ( 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 3-1 @ 7.77% ( 4-1 @ 5.66% ( 5-0 @ 4.74% ( 5-1 @ 3.3% ( 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 6-0 @ 2.3% ( 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 6-1 @ 1.6% ( 5-2 @ 1.15% ( 7-0 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.46% Total : 82.23% | 1-1 @ 5.49% ( 2-2 @ 2.78% ( 0-0 @ 2.7% ( Other @ 0.71% Total : 11.69% | 1-2 @ 1.91% ( 0-1 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 6.08% |