Eredivisie | Gameweek 8

Oct 6, 2024 at 11.15am UK

De Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead Eagles
4 - 1
Heracles

Nauber (55'), Deijl (74' pen.), Edvardsen (89'), Stokkers (90+6')
Deijl (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kulenovic (41')
de Keijzer (73'), Hornkamp (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Go Ahead Eagles and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions

Last Game: Groningen 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Heracles 2-1 Heerenveen
Friday, September 27 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 68.34%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 13.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	Heracles
68.34% ( 0.28)	18.02% ( -0.12)	13.64% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 54.87% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.23% (

0.21)

36.77% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.07% (

0.23)

58.93% (

-0.23)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.19% (

0.13)

9.81% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.41% (

0.29)

32.59% (

-0.29)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.84% (

-0.09)

39.16% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.13% (

-0.08)

75.87% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Go Ahead Eagles 68.33%

Heracles 13.64%

Draw 18.02%

Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	Heracles
2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.12% Total : 68.33%	1-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.02%	1-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 13.64%