Eredivisie | Gameweek 5

Sep 15, 2024 at 3.45pm UK

Erve Asito

Heracles
0 - 0
Almere City

Benita (11')

Tahiri (8'), Delaurier-Chaubet (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 3-0 Heracles
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Almere City

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Almere City 1-1 Groningen
Saturday, August 31 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Heracles	Draw	Almere City
41.25% ( 0.71)	24.96% ( -0.02)	33.79% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 57.39% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.08% (

-0.07)

45.92% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.77% (

-0.07)

68.23% (

0.07)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.79% (

0.31)

22.21% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.37% (

0.47)

55.63% (

-0.47)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.78% (

-0.44)

26.22% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.68% (

-0.6)

61.32% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

Heracles 41.25%

Almere City 33.79%

Draw 24.95%

Heracles	Draw	Almere City
2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 41.25%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.95%	1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.79%