Eredivisie | Gameweek 4

Sep 1, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

MAC³PARK Stadion

PEC Zwolle
3 - 0
Heracles

Vente (13'), Mbayo (78'), Krastev (90+4')
Fichtinger (62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mesik (36'), Scheperman (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-0 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, August 24 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Heracles

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heracles 1-1 Willem II
Sunday, August 25 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
PEC Zwolle	Draw	Heracles
49.1% ( -0.18)	24.36% ( -0.1)	26.53% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 55.28% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.16% (

0.63)

46.84% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.9% (

0.58)

69.1% (

-0.59)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.87% (

0.17)

19.13% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.23% (

0.29)

50.78% (

-0.29)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.36% (

0.55)

31.64% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.94% (

0.63)

68.06% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

PEC Zwolle 49.1%

Heracles 26.53%

Draw 24.36%

PEC Zwolle	Draw	Heracles
1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.1%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.36%	0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.75% Total : 26.53%