Eredivisie | Gameweek 6

Sep 21, 2024 at 8pm UK

Sportpark De Weeren

Nijmegen
1 - 2
Heracles

Ogawa (45')
Nuytinck (25'), Marquez (59'), Proper (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Engels (3'), Kulenovic (13')
Mesik (12'), Roosken (34'), van Kaam (61'), Engels (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 2-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, September 14 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Heracles

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heracles 0-0 Almere City
Sunday, September 15 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 67.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 14.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
NEC	Draw	Heracles
67.21% ( 0.17)	18.65% ( -0.07)	14.14% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 53.97% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.39% (

0.09)

38.61% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.09% (

0.1)

60.91% (

-0.09)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.41% (

0.07)

10.59% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.63% (

0.15)

34.37% (

-0.15)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.37% (

-0.08)

39.63% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.69% (

-0.07)

76.31% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

NEC 67.2%

Heracles 14.14%

Draw 18.65%

NEC	Draw	Heracles
2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.48% Total : 67.2%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.65%	1-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 14.14%