Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.61%) and 1-3 (5.59%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.