Eredivisie | Gameweek 3

Sep 18, 2024 at 7pm UK

Amsterdam ArenA

Ajax
5 - 0
Sittard

Taylor (9'), Traore (24'), Baas (58'), Rensch (71'), Akpom (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Peterson (35')
Guth (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 3-0 Jagiellonia
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: NAC Breda 1-0 Sittard
Saturday, September 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
63.59% ( 0.23)	20.3% ( 0.03)	16.11% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 53.11% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.84% (

-0.63)

42.16% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.44% (

-0.63)

64.56% (

0.63)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.4% (

-0.13)

12.6% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.3% (

-0.26)

38.7% (

0.27)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.77% (

-0.7)

39.23% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.06% (

-0.66)

75.94% (

0.67)

Score Analysis

Ajax 63.58%

Fortuna Sittard 16.11%

Draw 20.3%

Ajax	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
2-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.4% Total : 63.58%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.3%	0-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) Other @ 2% Total : 16.11%