Eredivisie | Gameweek 5

Sep 14, 2024 at 7pm UK

Rat Verlegh Stadion

NAC Breda
1 - 0
Sittard

Kostorz (85')
Van den Bergh (73'), Kemper (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fosso (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NAC Breda and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heerenveen 4-0 NAC Breda
Saturday, August 31 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Sittard 0-3 Nijmegen
Saturday, August 31 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
NAC Breda	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
35.81% ( 0.15)	25.68% ( -0.01)	38.51% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 55.3% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.21% (

0.07)

48.78% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.11% (

0.06)

70.89% (

-0.07)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.61% (

0.12)

26.38% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.46% (

0.16)

61.54% (

-0.16)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12% (

-0.04)

24.88% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.51% (

-0.06)

59.49% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

NAC Breda 35.81%

Fortuna Sittard 38.51%

Draw 25.67%

NAC Breda	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.81%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.51%