Eredivisie | Gameweek 7

Sep 27, 2024 at 7pm UK

Erve Asito

Heracles
2 - 1
Heerenveen

Mirani (25'), Engels (87')
Podgoreanu (32'), Roosken (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rallis (59')
Braude (15'), Karlsbakk (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-2 Heracles
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 2-1 Groningen
Sunday, September 22 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heracles in this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	Heerenveen
40.08% ( 0.15)	23.78% ( -0.04)	36.13% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 62.15% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.07% (

0.19)

39.92% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.71% (

0.19)

62.28% (

-0.2)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.81% (

0.14)

20.19% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.51% (

0.23)

52.49% (

-0.24)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88% (

0.03)

22.12% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.51% (

0.04)

55.49% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Heracles 40.08%

Heerenveen 36.13%

Draw 23.78%

Heracles	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 40.08%	1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.13%