Eredivisie | Gameweek 6

Sep 22, 2024 at 11.15am UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
2 - 1
Groningen

Trenskow (12'), Nicolaescu (69')
Nicolaescu (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Valente (9')
Vaessen (86'), Mendes (90'), Valente (90')
Peersman (63'), Darri Willumsson (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Heerenveen
Tuesday, September 17 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Groningen

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Groningen 2-2 Feyenoord
Saturday, September 14 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heerenveen in this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	Groningen
41.32% ( -1.22)	24.02% ( 0.26)	34.66% ( 0.95)

Both teams to score 60.99% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.67% (

-1.02)

41.32% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.28% (

-1.05)

63.72% (

1.04)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.78% (

-0.97)

20.22% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.46% (

-1.57)

52.54% (

1.57)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.45% (

0.05)

23.55% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.4% (

0.08)

57.6% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 41.32%

Groningen 34.66%

Draw 24.02%

Heerenveen	Draw	Groningen
2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.98% Total : 41.32%	1-1 @ 11% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.02%	1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.66%