Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Delano Burgzorg 90'+2' goal

Middlesbrough vs Heerenveen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 31, 2024 7.30pm
Harrogate 0 - 0 Middlesbrough

Heerenveen

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 26, 2024 6.00pm
Heerenveen 5 - 0 Rayo Vallecano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result

Middlesbrough 46.4% ▼ (-0.35)
Draw 22.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Heerenveen 30.78% ▲ (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.81% ▲ (+0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.04% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 36.96% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 40.85% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 3.5 59.15% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 4.5 22.83% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 4.5 77.17% ▼ (-0.18)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 83.63% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 16.37% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 54% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 46% ▲ (+0.10)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 76.3% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 0.5 23.7% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 1.5 42.19% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 1.5 57.82% ▼ (-0.45)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 46.4%
Draw 22.82%
Heerenveen 30.78%
Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 9.15% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 46.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.82%
Heerenveen
1-2 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.78%