Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Heerenveen
46.4% ( -0.35)	22.82% ( -0)	30.78% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 63.81% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.04% (

0.22)

36.96% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.85% (

0.23)

59.15% (

-0.22)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.63% (

-0.05)

16.37% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54% (

-0.09)

46% (

0.09)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.3% (

0.32)

23.7% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.19% (

0.46)

57.82% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 46.4%

Heerenveen 30.78%

Draw 22.82%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.63% Total : 46.4%	1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.82%	1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.78%