Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 76.21%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 9.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.58%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.