Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 84.8%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 5.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 4-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.76%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.