Eredivisie Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 8.00pm
9
1
HT : 2 1
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Sven Mijnans 4' goal
  • Troy Parrott 23' goal
  • Troy Parrott 48' goal
  • Troy Parrott 50' goal
  • Troy Parrott 56' goal
  • Ibrahim Sadiq 72' goal
  • Mexx Meerdink 75' goal
  • Kristijan Belic 82' goal
  • Zico Buurmeester 85' goal
  • goal Luuk Brouwers 19'
  • yellowcard Daniel Karlsbakk 80'

AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2024 7.00pm
RKC Waalwijk 0 - 3 AZ
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2024 7.00pm
Heerenveen 4 - 0 NAC Breda
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Ion Nicolaescu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 9-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result

AZ Alkmaar 64.91%
Draw 19.07% (+0.01)
Heerenveen 16.02%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.34%

Goals

Over 2.5 63.46% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 36.54%
Over 3.5 41.32% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 58.68%
Over 4.5 23.21% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 76.79%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 89.41% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 10.59%
Over 1.5 65.63% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 34.37%

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 64.13% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 35.87%
Over 1.5 27.36%
Under 1.5 72.64%

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 64.91%
Draw 19.07%
Heerenveen 16.02%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.82%
2-0 @ 9.57%
1-0 @ 8.53%
3-1 @ 7.35%
3-0 @ 7.17%
4-1 @ 4.12%
4-0 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 3.77%
4-2 @ 2.11%
5-1 @ 1.85%
5-0 @ 1.81%
Other @ 4.79%
Total : 64.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.74%
2-2 @ 5.03%
0-0 @ 3.8%
3-3 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.07%
Heerenveen
1-2 @ 4.48%
0-1 @ 3.89%
0-2 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.72%
1-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 16.02%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 11.15am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Pelle van Amersfoort 8' yellowcard
  • Jordy Clasie 24' goal
  • Luuk Brouwers 51' goal
  • Luuk Brouwers 80' yellowcard
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 20'
  • yellowcard Dani de Wit 23'
  • yellowcard Sven Mijnans 33'
  • redcard Denso Kasius 40'
  • goal Pawel Bochniewicz 88' (OG)
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 11' goal
  • Riechedly Bazoer 24' yellowcard
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 59' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 76' goal
  • yellowcard Luuk Brouwers 11'
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Apr 1, 2023 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Xavier Mous 75' goal
  • goal Sydney van Hooijdonk 5'
Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Jan 14, 2023 5.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Dani de Wit 33'
  • goal Tijjani Reijnders 46'
Eredivisie
May 22, 2022 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Dani de Wit 5' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 24' yellowcard
  • Kerkez Milos 41' yellowcard
  • Bruno Martins Indi 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Aboukhlal 88' goal
  • Zakaria Aboukhlal 89' yellowcard
Eredivisie
May 19, 2022 5.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Sydney van Hooijdonk 4' yellowcard
  • Milan van Ewijk 20' yellowcard
  • Sydney van Hooijdonk 58' goal
  • Thom Haye 68' yellowcard
  • Amin Sarr 90' goal
  • Tibor Halilovic 90'+4' goal
  • goal Hakon Evjen 59'
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 65'
  • yellowcard Jesper Karlsson 79'