Eredivisie | Gameweek 5

Sep 14, 2024 at 8pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
9 - 1
Heerenveen

Mijnans (4'), Parrott (23', 48', 50', 56'), Sadiq (72'), Meerdink (75'), Belic (82'), Buurmeester (85')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Brouwers (19')
Karlsbakk (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-3 AZ
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Heerenveen

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heerenveen 4-0 NAC Breda
Saturday, August 31 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 9-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Heerenveen
64.91%	19.07% ( 0)	16.02%

Both teams to score 57.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.46% (

36.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.32% (

58.68%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.41% (

10.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.63% (

34.37%

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.13% (

35.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.36%

72.64%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 64.91%

Heerenveen 16.02%

Draw 19.07%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 9.57% 1-0 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 7.35% 3-0 @ 7.17% 4-1 @ 4.12% 4-0 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 3.77% 4-2 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.85% 5-0 @ 1.81% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.84% Total : 64.91%	1-1 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 5.03% 0-0 @ 3.8% 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.07%	1-2 @ 4.48% 0-1 @ 3.89% 0-2 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.72% 1-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.4% Total : 16.02%