Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Heracles
Oct 20, 2024 1.30pm
3
4
HT : 2 2
FT Erve Asito
Ajax
  • Luka Kulenovic 12' goal
  • Brian De Keersmaecker 14' yellowcard
  • Mario Engels 28' goal
  • Luka Kulenovic 76' goal
  • Brian De Keersmaecker 84' redcard
  • goal Davy Klaassen 25'
  • goal Bertrand Traore 34'
  • yellowcard Jorrel Hato 34'
  • yellowcard Brian Brobbey 36'
  • yellowcard Jordan Henderson 37'
  • goal Wout Weghorst 63'
  • goal Wout Weghorst 82'
  • yellowcard Christian Rasmussen 88'

Heracles vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions
Last game
Oct 6, 2024 11.15am
Go Ahead Eagles 4 - 1 Heracles
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Luka Kulenovic

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Oct 6, 2024 3.45pm
Ajax 3 - 1 Groningen
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Wout Weghorst

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.65%) and 1-3 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result

Heracles 18.98% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 18.99% ▼ (-0.08)
Ajax 62.02% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.15% ▲ (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.36% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 2.5 30.64% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 48.04% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 3.5 51.96% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 4.5 28.96% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 4.5 71.03% ▼ (-0.32)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5 70.97% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 29.03% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 35.07% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 64.93% ▼ (-0.19)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 90.39% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 0.5 9.61% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 1.5 67.88% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 32.12% ▼ (-0.26)

Score analysis

Heracles 18.98%
Draw 18.99%
Ajax 62.02%
Heracles
2-1 @ 5% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 18.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.08% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 18.99%
Ajax
1-2 @ 9.47% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.04)
1-5 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.03)
0-5 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.02)
2-5 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.03)
3-4 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 62.02%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 19
Heracles
Jan 27, 2024 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 1
FT Polman Stadion
Ajax
  • Jizz Hornkamp 12' goal
  • Brian De Keersmaecker 15' yellowcard
  • Mario Engels 60' goal
  • Sava-Arangel Cestic 90' yellowcard
  • goal Brian Brobbey 16'
  • goal Steven Berghuis 55'
  • goal Brian Brobbey 57'
  • yellowcard Kenneth Taylor 81'
  • goal Kristian Hlynsson 84'
Eredivisie Gameweek 1
Ajax
Aug 12, 2023 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
Heracles
  • Jakov Medic 45'+8' goal
  • Benjamin Tahirovic 61' yellowcard
  • Devyne Rensch 74' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Kudus 75' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 85' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Justin Hoogma 10'
  • goal Mario Engels 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Anas Ouahim 56'
  • yellowcard Mario Engels 58'
  • yellowcard Thomas Bruns 74'
  • yellowcard Bryan Limbombe 88'
Eredivisie Gameweek 19
Ajax
Feb 6, 2022 3.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Heracles
  • Edson Alvarez 7' yellowcard
  • Antony 11' yellowcard
  • Davy Klaassen 22' goal
  • Sebastien Haller 55' goal
  • Kenneth Taylor 65' goal
  • yellowcard Kaj Sierhuis 73'
  • yellowcard Navajo Bakboord 80'
Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Heracles
Oct 30, 2021 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ajax
  • Navajo Bakboord 11' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Quagliata 38' yellowcard
  • Marco Rente 58' yellowcard
  • Delano Burgzorg 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastien Haller 80'
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Heracles
Feb 13, 2021 5.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Ajax
  • Giacomo Quagliata 84' yellowcard
  • goal Davy Klaassen 14'
  • yellowcard Sebastien Haller 66'
  • goal Sebastien Haller 79'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Ajax
Nov 22, 2020 11.15am
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Heracles
  • Lassina Traore 6' goal
  • David Neres 29' goal
  • Zakaria Labyad 36' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 57' goal
  • Zakaria Labyad 77' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Schoofs 8'
  • yellowcard Rai Vloet 39'
  • yellowcard Teun Bijleveld 72'

Form Data

Go Ahead Eagles 4 - 1 Heracles
Heracles 2 - 1 Heerenveen
Nijmegen 1 - 2 Heracles
Heracles 0 - 0 Almere City
PEC Zwolle 3 - 0 Heracles
Heracles 1 - 1 Willem II
Ajax 3 - 1 Groningen
Slavia Prague 1 - 1 Ajax
RKC Waalwijk 0 - 2 Ajax
Ajax 4 - 0 Besiktas
Go Ahead Eagles 1 - 1 Ajax
Ajax 5 - 0 Sittard