/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fbeslog.png)
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Kian Fitz-Jim
21'
-
Kian Fitz-Jim
31'
-
Jorrel Hato
47'
-
Mika Godts
51'
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Kenneth Taylor
55'
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Mika Godts
73'
-
Mustafa Erhan Hekimoglu
45'+1'
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Jean Onana
51'
Ajax vs Besiktas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F30%2Ffrancesco-farioli.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 55.87%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
Ajax
55.87%
▲
(+2.66)
Draw
21.76%
▼
(-0.70)
Besiktas
22.36%
▼
(-1.96)
Both Teams to Score:
59.42%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.79%
▲
(+1.05)
Under 2.5
39.2%
▼
(-1.06)
Over 3.5
38.46%
▲
(+1.10)
Under 3.5
61.54%
▼
(-1.10)
Over 4.5
20.92%
▲
(+0.86)
Under 4.5
79.08%
▼
(-0.86)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
86.05%
▲
(+1.22)
Under 0.5
13.95%
▼
(-1.22)
Over 1.5
58.57%
▲
(+2.35)
Under 1.5
41.43%
▼
(-2.36)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5
69.05%
▼
(-1.07)
Under 0.5
30.95%
▲
(+1.07)
Over 1.5
32.75%
▼
(-1.27)
Under 1.5
67.25%
▲
(+1.27)
Score analysis
Ajax
55.88%
Draw
21.76%
Besiktas
22.36%
Ajax
2-1
@
9.82%
▲
(+0.09)
1-0 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8.38% ▲ (+0.32)
3-1 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.33)
3-0 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.44)
3-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.30)
4-0 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.32)
4-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.12)
5-1 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.17)
5-0 @ 1.07% ▼ (-89.04)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 55.88%
1-0 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8.38% ▲ (+0.32)
3-1 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.33)
3-0 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.44)
3-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.30)
4-0 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.32)
4-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.12)
5-1 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.17)
5-0 @ 1.07% ▼ (-89.04)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 55.88%
Draw
1-1
@
9.97%
▼
(-0.35)
2-2 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.22)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.76%
2-2 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.22)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.76%
Besiktas
1-2
@
5.85%
▼
(-0.39)
0-1 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.42)
0-2 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.34)
1-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.23)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 22.36%
0-1 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.42)
0-2 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.34)
1-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.23)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 22.36%