Europa League

Europa League | League Stage

Sep 26, 2024 at 8pm UK

Amsterdam ArenA

Ajax
4 - 0
Besiktas

Fitz-Jim (31'), Godts (51', 73'), Taylor (55')
Fitz-Jim (21'), Hato (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Erhan Hekimoglu (45+1'), Onana (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ajax and Besiktas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Ajax
Saturday, September 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Besiktas

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Eyupspor
Sunday, September 22 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 55.87%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Besiktas
55.87% ( 2.65)	21.76% ( -0.7)	22.36% ( -1.96)

Both teams to score 59.42% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.79% (

1.05)

39.2% (

-1.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.46% (

1.09)

61.54% (

-1.09)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.05% (

1.22)

13.95% (

-1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.57% (

2.35)

41.43% (

-2.35)

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.05% (

-1.07)

30.95% (

1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.75% (

-1.27)

67.25% (

1.27)

Score Analysis

Ajax 55.88%

Besiktas 22.36%

Draw 21.76%

Ajax	Draw	Besiktas
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.43) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.29) 4-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.32) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.16) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.38% Total : 55.88%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.76%	1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.39) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.78% Total : 22.36%