Eredivisie | Gameweek 7

Sep 29, 2024 at 3.45pm UK

Mandemakers Stadion

RKC Waalwijk
0 - 2
Ajax

van Gelderen (20'), Meijers (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Traore (76'), Godts (90+4')
Brobbey (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-2 Sparta
Saturday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Besiktas
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 19.42%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 0-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
RKC Waalwijk	Draw	Ajax
19.42% ( 0.24)	20.39% ( -0.06)	60.2% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 59.64% (

0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.22% (

0.69)

36.78% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.05% (

0.74)

58.95% (

-0.74)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.7% (

0.64)

32.3% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.2% (

0.72)

68.8% (

-0.72)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.1% (

0.17)

11.9% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.76% (

0.35)

37.24% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

RKC Waalwijk 19.42%

Ajax 60.2%

Draw 20.39%

RKC Waalwijk	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.46% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 19.42%	1-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.39%	1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 6.98% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.18% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 3.72% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 4.28% Total : 60.2%