Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sparta Rotterdam.