/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fgrolog.png)
-
Davy Klaassen
21'
-
Josip Sutalo
65'
-
Youri Baas
73'
-
Mika Godts
83'
-
Wout Weghorst
90'+1'
-
Chuba Akpom
90'+4'
-
Stije Resink
42'
-
Jorg Schreuders
69'
-
Thijmen Blokzijl
71'
Ajax vs Groningen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F40%2Fajax.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 14.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
Ajax
66.56%
▼
(-0.53)
Draw
19.25%
▲
(+0.19)
Groningen
14.18%
▲
(+0.35)
Both Teams to Score:
51.89%
▲
(+0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.62%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
41.37%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
36.22%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
63.77%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
19.19%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 4.5
80.81%
▲
(+0.06)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
88.45%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 0.5
11.54%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 1.5
63.53%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 1.5
36.47%
▲
(+0.35)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5
58.67%
▲
(+0.46)
Under 0.5
41.33%
▼
(-0.46)
Over 1.5
22.15%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 1.5
77.85%
▼
(-0.40)
Score analysis
Ajax
66.56%
Draw
19.25%
Groningen
14.18%
Ajax
2-0
@
11.12%
▼
(-0.12)
1-0 @ 10.3% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 8% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 7.07% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 66.56%
1-0 @ 10.3% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 8% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 7.07% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 66.56%
Draw
1-1
@
9.1%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 19.25%
0-0 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 19.25%
Groningen
0-1
@
4.22%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 14.18%
1-2 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 14.18%