Eredivisie | Gameweek 8

Oct 6, 2024 at 3.45pm UK

Amsterdam ArenA

Ajax
3 - 1
Groningen

Klaassen (21'), Weghorst (90+1'), Akpom (90+4')
Sutalo (65'), Baas (73'), Godts (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Schreuders (69')
Resink (42'), Blokzijl (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Slavia Prague 1-1 Ajax
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Groningen

All competitions

Last Game: Groningen 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 14.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Groningen
66.56% ( -0.53)	19.25% ( 0.18)	14.18% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 51.89% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.62% (

-0.07)

41.37% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.22% (

-0.07)

63.77% (

0.07)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.45% (

-0.16)

11.54% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.53% (

-0.35)

36.47% (

0.35)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.67% (

0.45)

41.33% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.15% (

0.4)

77.85% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Ajax 66.56%

Groningen 14.18%

Draw 19.25%

Ajax	Draw	Groningen
2-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.79% Total : 66.56%	1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.25%	0-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.62% Total : 14.18%