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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 83.79%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 5.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 4-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (1.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 83.79% ( | 10.73% ( | 5.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.29% ( | 27.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.62% ( | 48.37% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.28% ( | 4.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.87% ( | 19.13% ( |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.16% ( | 49.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.45% ( | 84.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 3-0 @ 11.16% ( 2-0 @ 10.96% ( 4-0 @ 8.52% ( 3-1 @ 7.77% ( 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 1-0 @ 7.18% ( 4-1 @ 5.93% ( 5-0 @ 5.2% ( 5-1 @ 3.62% ( 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 6-0 @ 2.65% ( 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 6-1 @ 1.84% ( 5-2 @ 1.26% ( 7-0 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 4.12% Total : 83.79% | 1-1 @ 5% ( 2-2 @ 2.66% ( 0-0 @ 2.35% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 10.73% | 1-2 @ 1.74% ( 0-1 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 5.47% |