AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
NAC Breda

FC Twente
1 - 0
NAC Breda

van Wolfswinkel (76' pen.)
Eiting (69'), Besselink (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Valerius (43'), Lucassen (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and NAC Breda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 1-1 FC Twente
Wednesday, September 25 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 NAC Breda
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 83.79%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 5.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 4-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (1.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawNAC Breda
83.79% (-0.41 -0.41)10.73% (0.263 0.26)5.47% (0.144 0.14)
Both teams to score 47.8% (-0.249 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.29% (-0.767 -0.77)27.7% (0.764 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.62% (-0.964 -0.96)48.37% (0.962 0.96)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.28% (-0.205 -0.2)4.72% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.87% (-0.624 -0.62)19.13% (0.62 0.62)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.16% (-0.155 -0.16)49.83% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.45% (-0.107 -0.11)84.54% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 83.79%
    NAC Breda 5.47%
    Draw 10.73%
FC TwenteDrawNAC Breda
3-0 @ 11.16% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 10.96% (0.2 0.2)
4-0 @ 8.52% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 7.64% (0.106 0.11)
1-0 @ 7.18% (0.23 0.23)
4-1 @ 5.93% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
5-0 @ 5.2% (-0.128 -0.13)
5-1 @ 3.62% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
6-0 @ 2.65% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.04 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.84% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.26% (-0.042 -0.04)
7-0 @ 1.16% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 83.79%
1-1 @ 5% (0.139 0.14)
2-2 @ 2.66% (0.025 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.35% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 10.73%
1-2 @ 1.74% (0.042 0.04)
0-1 @ 1.64% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 5.47%

How you voted: FC Twente vs NAC Breda

FC Twente
88.0%
Draw
4.0%
NAC Breda
8.0%
25
Head to Head
May 6, 2018 1.30pm
FC Twente
1-1
NAC Breda
George (39')
Koch (16')
Dec 12, 2017 5.30pm
NAC Breda
1-2
FC Twente
Bijen (59' og.)
Meijers (66'), Fernandes (72')
Bertrams (90')
Assaidi (48', 61')
Hooiveld (31'), Holla (66'), Assaidi (87')
Aug 24, 2014 1.30pm
NAC Breda
1-1
FC Twente
Tighadouini (92' pen.)
Perica (80'), Seuntjens (81')
Castaignos (17')
Bjelland (28'), Marsman (90'), Breukers (91')
Bjelland (55')