Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 70.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 12.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-0 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.