Eredivisie | Gameweek 11

Nov 2, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
0 - 1
FC Twente

Abdirahman Ahmed (32'), Thor Sigurgeirsson (49'), Boris (84'), Bokila (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lammers (58')
Rots (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions

Last Game: Ajax 1-0 Willem II
Sunday, October 27 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

FC Twente

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: FC Twente 5-0 Heracles
Sunday, October 27 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	FC Twente
24.94% ( -0.23)	22.15% ( -0)	52.9% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 61.29% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.82% (

-0.21)

38.18% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.54% (

-0.23)

60.45% (

0.23)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.72% (

-0.29)

28.27% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.01% (

-0.37)

63.99% (

0.37)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.45%

14.55% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.4% (

-0)

42.59%

Score Analysis

Willem II 24.94%

FC Twente 52.9%

Draw 22.15%

Willem II	Draw	FC Twente
2-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 24.94%	1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.15%	1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.91% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.9%