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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 42.17% ( | 24.62% ( | 33.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.48% ( | 44.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.11% ( | 66.89% ( |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.82% ( | 21.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.95% ( | 54.05% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% ( | 25.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.12% ( | 60.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 2-0 @ 6.61% ( 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.17% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.62% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 1-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.21% |