Eredivisie | Gameweek 8

Oct 4, 2024 at 7pm UK

Yanmar Stadion

Almere City
0 - 1
Willem II

Zagaritis (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Abdirahman Ahmed (78')
Tirpan (52'), Lachkar (56'), Boris (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-0 Almere City
Sunday, September 29 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Willem II

All competitions

Last Game: Willem II 0-2 PSV
Saturday, September 28 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 59.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Almere City	Draw	Willem II
19% ( 1.39)	21.42% ( 0.31)	59.58% ( -1.7)

Both teams to score 55.18% (

1.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.71% (

0.84)

42.29% (

-0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.3% (

0.83)

64.69% (

-0.84)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.03% (

2.04)

35.96% (

-2.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.25% (

2.03)

72.74% (

-2.03)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.17% (

-0.25)

13.83% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.82% (

-0.49)

41.18% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Almere City 19%

Willem II 59.58%

Draw 21.42%

Almere City	Draw	Willem II
2-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.68% Total : 19%	1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.42%	1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.46) 0-2 @ 9.73% ( -0.55) 1-3 @ 6.57% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 6.42% ( -0.43) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 3.25% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 3.18% ( -0.24) 2-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.26% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.08% Total : 59.58%