Eredivisie | Gameweek 8

Oct 6, 2024 at 7pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
1 - 0
AZ

Guth (78')
Halilovic (20'), Aiko (29'), Erceg (83'), Bullaude (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dekker (45'), van Bommel (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 1-1 Sittard
Saturday, September 28 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 AZ
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
24.37% ( 0.04)	24.12% ( -0.05)	51.52% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.95% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.4% (

0.23)

47.6% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.2% (

0.21)

69.8% (

-0.21)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.17% (

0.16)

33.83% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.51% (

0.17)

70.49% (

-0.17)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.53% (

0.09)

18.47% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.33% (

0.16)

49.67% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 24.37%

AZ Alkmaar 51.51%

Draw 24.11%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.67% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 24.37%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.11%	0-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.12% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 51.51%