AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Ajax
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FC Utrecht
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
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Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
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Heerenveen
Heerenveen
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Heracles Almelo
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NAC Breda
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Willem II
Willem II
Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2024 at 7pm UK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

Sittard
1 - 0
AZ

Guth (78')
Halilovic (20'), Aiko (29'), Erceg (83'), Bullaude (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dekker (45'), van Bommel (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
Last Game: Sparta 1-1 Sittard
Saturday, September 28 at 8pm in Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 AZ
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Fortuna SittardDrawAZ Alkmaar
24.37% (0.037000000000003 0.04)24.12% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)51.52% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.95% (0.189 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4% (0.228 0.23)47.6% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.2% (0.211 0.21)69.8% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17% (0.158 0.16)33.83% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.51% (0.169 0.17)70.49% (-0.166 -0.17)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53% (0.092999999999989 0.09)18.47% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.33% (0.15600000000001 0.16)49.67% (-0.154 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Sittard 24.37%
    AZ Alkmaar 51.51%
    Draw 24.11%
Fortuna SittardDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 6.77% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.2% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.24% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 24.37%
1-1 @ 11.43% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.11%
0-1 @ 10.55% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.91% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.44% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.02% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.3% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.12% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 51.51%

How you voted: Sittard vs AZ

Fortuna Sittard
7.5%
Draw
10.0%
AZ Alkmaar
82.5%
40
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 22
Sittard
1-2
AZ
Cordoba (18')
Lonwijk (41')
Pavlidis (63'), De Wit (90')
Bazoer (69')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 7
AZ
4-0
Sittard
Clasie (45+1'), Pavlidis (49'), Siovas (82' og.), Dantas (88')
de Wit (28')

Sierhuis (24'), Siovas (35'), Duarte (90+2')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 29
Sittard
0-3
AZ
Odgaard (24'), Milos (42'), Pavlidis (84')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 17
AZ
3-1
Sittard
De Wit (4'), Navarro (24' og.), Pavlidis (56')
Yilmaz (11' pen.)
> Preview
Jan 16, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 18
Sittard
1-2
AZ
Rienstra (85')
Beukema (14'), Sugawara (61')
> Preview