Europa League

Europa League | League Stage

Oct 3, 2024 at 8pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
AZ

Williams (72'), Sancet (86')
Ruiz de Galarreta (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Maikuma (42'), van Bommel (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Athletic Bilbao and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, September 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: AZ 1-2 Utrecht
Sunday, September 29 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
30.34% ( -0.55)	26.16% ( -0.32)	43.49% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 52.11% (

0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.82% (

1.07)

52.18% (

-1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.1% (

0.91)

73.89% (

-0.92)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.42% (

0.16)

31.57% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.02% (

0.18)

67.97% (

-0.19)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.15% (

0.9)

23.84% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.97% (

1.28)

58.02% (

-1.28)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 30.34%

AZ Alkmaar 43.49%

Draw 26.16%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.34%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.77% Total : 43.49%