AZ Alkmaar
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AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion
FC Utrecht

AZ
1 - 2
Utrecht

Parrott (24')
Mijnans (21')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cathline (32'), Aaronson (55')
Romeny (6'), Fraulo (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 3-2 Elfsborg
Wednesday, September 25 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Utrecht 3-2 Willem II
Saturday, September 21 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.58%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Utrecht
62.87% (0.7 0.7)19.55% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)17.58% (-0.61 -0.61)
Both teams to score 59.07% (-0.941 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.11% (-0.649 -0.65)35.89% (0.649 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.02% (-0.71899999999999 -0.72)57.98% (0.718 0.72)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.08% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)10.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.89% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)35.11% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (-1.05 -1.05)33.68% (1.049 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (-1.16 -1.16)70.33% (1.157 1.16)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 62.87%
    FC Utrecht 17.58%
    Draw 19.55%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.281 0.28)
1-0 @ 8.15% (0.257 0.26)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.205 0.21)
4-1 @ 4.01% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-0 @ 3.69% (0.112 0.11)
4-2 @ 2.18% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.63% (0.049 0.05)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 62.87%
1-1 @ 8.87% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 19.55%
1-2 @ 4.82% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-1 @ 4% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.18% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 17.58%

How you voted: AZ vs Utrecht

AZ Alkmaar
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
FC Utrecht
0.0%
42
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
3-3
Utrecht
De Wit (15'), Van Bommel (16'), Pavlidis (37')
Pavlidis (38'), Sadiq (51')
de Wit (60')
Boussaid (55'), Lammers (71'), Jensen (81')
Dec 3, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 14
Utrecht
1-1
AZ
Jensen (49')
Feb 7, 2023 5.45pm
Round of 16
AZ
1-2
Utrecht
Karlsson (86')
Viergever (58'), Maeda (93')
Jan 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 19
AZ
5-5
Utrecht
Dekker (20'), Pavlidis (31', 34', 78'), De Wit (70')
Douvikas (12', 16', 65'), Viergever (41'), Van de Streek (80')
Oct 9, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 9
Utrecht
1-2
AZ
Sylla (90+2')
Van Brederode (31'), Sugawara (68')