/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Futrlog.png)
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Sven Mijnans
21'
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Troy Parrott
24'
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Ole Romeny
6'
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Oscar Fraulo
26'
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Yoann Cathline
32'
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Paxten Aaronson
55'
AZ Alkmaar vs FC Utrecht - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Faz-alkmaar.png)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
62.87%
▲
(+0.70)
Draw
19.55%
▼
(-0.10)
FC Utrecht
17.58%
▼
(-0.61)
Both Teams to Score:
59.07%
▼
(-0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5
64.11%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 2.5
35.89%
▲
(+0.65)
Over 3.5
42.02%
▼
(-0.72)
Under 3.5
57.98%
▲
(+0.72)
Over 4.5
23.78%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 4.5
76.21%
▲
(+0.60)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
89.08%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
10.92%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
64.89%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
35.11%
▲
(+0.03)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5
66.32%
▼
(-1.05)
Under 0.5
33.68%
▲
(+1.05)
Over 1.5
29.66%
▼
(-1.17)
Under 1.5
70.33%
▲
(+1.16)
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
62.87%
Draw
19.55%
FC Utrecht
17.58%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1
@
9.82%
▲
(+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.29)
1-0 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.26)
3-1 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.21)
4-1 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.12)
4-2 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.76%
Total : 62.87%
2-0 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.29)
1-0 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.26)
3-1 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.21)
4-1 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.12)
4-2 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.76%
Total : 62.87%
Draw
1-1
@
8.87%
▲
(+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.14)
0-0 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 19.55%
2-2 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.14)
0-0 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 19.55%
FC Utrecht
1-2
@
4.82%
▼
(-0.13)
0-1 @ 4% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 17.58%
0-1 @ 4% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 17.58%
